Bitcoin News Update: Death Cross Analysis: Is This the Cycle’s Bottom or Will Crypto Face Further Decline?

Bitcoin's drop beneath key technical levels has ignited heated discussions among market experts, as the asset forms a "death cross" pattern and

appears to be on a similar path. The 50-day moving average for (BTC) , a historically bearish indicator often linked to extended declines. At the time of writing, BTC is trading around $91,000, having fallen more than 5% in the past day, .

This death cross, a formation typically seen as a sign of prolonged weakness, is drawing parallels to previous market cycles.

that although earlier death crosses eventually reversed, the current price movement closely resembles the rapid and steep decline of 2022. , as a spike in Bitcoin transfers to exchanges suggests mounting selling pressure. Meanwhile, Ethereum (ETH) is trading near $2,900, with its 50-day average nearing the 200-day threshold.

Technical signals offer a mixed outlook.

, entering oversold territory—a level that has often preceded recoveries in the past. Still, analysts urge caution. "An oversold RSI can last longer than buyers expect," one trader cautions, , such as candlestick formations or support holding. For Ethereum, the ADX, which measures trend strength, stands at 42.4, .

Historical market cycles further complicate the forecast.

that lasted about 364 days, with losses ranging from 77% to 84%. If the current cycle's peak was in October 2025, in late 2026. However, some experts believe that macroeconomic changes in 2025, and a slowdown in ETF inflows, could shift this pattern.

Market mood is extremely fearful, with

—the lowest level since April 2025. 73% of participants expect Bitcoin to fall to $85,000, while Ethereum is seen as having a 62% chance of declining to $2,500. These probabilities match up with Fibonacci support zones and major technical breakdown areas, though bulls remain hopeful for a quick recovery above the 200-day moving average.

Ethereum's situation is made more unstable by its

(where the 50-day EMA is above the 200-day EMA) but is trading below both, highlighting the market's fragility. , a further drop toward $2,300 becomes more probable.

With the crypto market facing heightened volatility, the next few weeks will reveal whether this death cross signals a cyclical bottom or a deeper phase of capitulation. As macroeconomic factors and on-chain data send mixed signals, investors are left waiting for clearer direction in a high-stakes environment.