For the past three months, the cryptocurrency market has been engulfed in a selling frenzy, fueled by both pervasive negativity and the historical four-year cycle narrative. This has been a challenging period for cryptocurrencies, but as 2025 draws to a close, some on-chain signals suggest that the tide may be turning. Next week, we will be counting down the last hours of the year, offering a chance for reflection and anticipation. Notably, individual investor activity indicates a possible easing of the relentless selling pressure that has plagued the market.
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CryptoQuant’s on-chain analyst Darkfost highlighted the disrupted on-chain signals following the significant movements in Coinbase during November. The immense transfer of Bitcoin (BTC) $87,816.10 through Coinbase had initially upended metrics, causing fear among those closely monitoring the on-chain data. However, signs point to a gradual normalization.
“It’s been over a month since Coinbase’s major BTC movement. Consequently, all average figures are gradually returning to normal levels. Looking at the Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) data, we can clearly observe a sharp decline following this event.”
Encouragingly, this decline has reached a level significantly below the previous peak. Beyond the on-chain disruption triggered by Coinbase, this pattern suggests a stabilization in short-term investor activities, signifying the end of the frantic selling period.
“BTC movements are becoming less frequent, indicating that the selling pressure from these participants is waning. For those unfamiliar with this indicator, CDD simply measures the number of days a UTXO is held before being spent.
When long-held BTC begins to move, it usually signals preparations for selling. The decline in CDD is a positive sign, as Long-Term Holders (LTH) still represent the largest potential source of selling pressure, owning the largest share of the total supply.
A decrease in LTH selling pressure helps ease market tension, and if this trend continues, it could contribute to bottom formation.” – Darkfost
As the new year approaches, this news brings a sense of relief amidst the impending negative developments and recent shocks experienced in the last quarter that have exhausted investors. If there is to be a bottom, it is something we are yet to witness. It’s about time that cryptocurrencies should experience some growth.
Bitcoin (BTC) Outlook
Michael Poppe believes that due to the easing of liquidity in the order books and the holiday period, we should not expect much from Bitcoin in the coming week. He points to two significant levels and cautions about fluctuations in gold prices.
“Expecting something special from Bitcoin is unlikely. However, there’s a solid test at the $86,500 level, and while this level holds, gold is declining and not accelerating.
Ultimately, a clear breakout above $88,000 suggests better times ahead, and it seems just a matter of time for this to happen.”
If we are to witness a sudden major move in the coming days, it could be triggered by significant developments. The news section of the application can facilitate staying updated on these matters.
