How low can the Bitcoin price go?
Bitcoin is down to one-month lows, and BTC price predictions are tending to assume worse is to come — how much lower can bears manage?
The price of Bitcoin () has fallen to one-month lows, and traders are increasingly betting on more downside to come.
BTC price performance has weakened in recent days, with BTC/USD hitting $28,850 on July 24, data from and confirms.
Despite a brief rebound, market participants remain unconvinced that the largest cryptocurrency has seen the worst of its losses.
Cointelegraph looks at current prognoses for crypto and risk assets during a major macroeconomic week.
BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: TradingView
For popular trader Crypto Ed, the prior dip to Bitcoin’s lowest since June 21 was entirely expected.
Now, he believes that a final break into buy liquidity should occur, taking BTC/USD to around $28,500. A relief bounce to $29,400 could come first.
“If we do get a move like this, then I’m looking for a setup for more downside and possibly $28,500 - 400, more or less,” he said in his latest YouTube .
Crypto Ed showed an additional target box covering prices as low as $27,800, but acknowledged that he was unconvinced that Bitcoin would make it there.
For fellow trader Crypto Chase, the downside could take Bitcoin toward $27,000 before last-minute long entries get suitably burned.
Speculators should end up bidding at major price points as BTC/USD moves down — at $29,200, $28,500 and $28,000, he predicted earlier in July.
In an on July 24, he maintained that this was the likely course of events.
“These are still mostly my thoughts. I can’t short now as strong R/R opportunities are behind us, decent entries were not offered based on my strategies,” he acknowledged to Twitter followers.
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Crypto Chase/Twitter
An accompanying chart showed relevant Fibonacci retracement levels for the daily chart.
Ahead of a series of crunch United States macro events, various traders are keeping out of Bitcoin until a more apparent trend emerges.
Related:
Nonetheless, as important lines in the sand, among them the 200-week and 21-week at $27,130 and $28,200, respectively.
“Bitcoin is testing support in a key zone of historical significance,” Keith Alan, co-founder of monitoring resource Material Indicators, on July 24.
BTC/USD 1-week chart with 21, 200 MAs. Source: TradingView
As Cointelegraph reported, some worst-case scenarios include far deeper drawdowns, with not entirely off the table.
Magazine:
The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Trump Faces a Fed Chair Conundrum: Swift Rate Reductions or Maintaining Trust?
- Trump pledges to replace Fed Chair Powell by Christmas, but prediction markets assign 44% chance of delay into 2026. - Shortlisted candidates (Bessent, Hassett, Waller, Bowman, Rieder) all favor faster rate cuts, contrasting Powell's cautious approach. - Market skepticism grows as Trump privately complains about selection delays, despite public confidence in removing Powell. - Next Fed chair must balance Trump's demand for aggressive rate cuts with maintaining central bank credibility and market trust.

Brazil's Plan to Tax Cryptocurrency Ignites Debate Over Regulation and Investor Protections
- Brazil plans to tax cross-border crypto transfers via IOF expansion, targeting $30B annual revenue loss from unregulated stablecoin flows by 2025. - Stablecoins like USDT , dominating 2/3 of Brazil's crypto volume, face stricter forex rules amid concerns over money laundering and informal currency exchange. - Lawmakers clash over crypto policies: one bill seeks tax exemptions for long-term investors, while another proposes court powers to confiscate crypto linked to cybercrime. - The government's dual st

Bitcoin Updates: UAE’s Holdings in Bitcoin Triple as the Gulf Region Adopts Digital Gold
- Abu Dhabi's ADIC and Mubadala acquired 16M shares in BlackRock's IBIT ETF, tripling ADIC's stake to $518M, positioning UAE as a top Bitcoin holder via ETFs. - The investment occurred before a 20% Bitcoin price drop, with ADIC emphasizing Bitcoin's role as a "digital gold" for portfolio diversification. - UAE's strategy aligns with Gulf trends, including Dubai's Digital Dirham and Saudi Arabia's blockchain partnerships, as sovereign funds increasingly allocate to crypto assets. - Despite institutional int

Evaluating the Drivers and Reliability Behind PENGU’s Recent Rapid Price Increases
- PENGU's 12.8% 24-hour surge to $0.016 is driven by Bitcoin's rebound and NFT ecosystem liquidity spikes. - Proposed PENGU ETF combining tokens with NFTs could attract institutional capital amid 2025 regulatory clarity trends. - On-chain data reveals diverging signals: price gains vs. 33% retracement, bearish MACD, and increased exchange outflows. - Niche tokens like PENGU face liquidity risks despite macro optimism , with $202M 24-hour volume far below major ETF benchmarks. - Sustained PENGU growth requi
