Analysis of the Probability of Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut in November
CME "Federal Reserve Watch" data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 45.2%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 54.8%. The likelihood of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points by December is 23.4%, while there's a 50.2% chance for a cumulative reduction of 75 basis points, and a 26.5% chance for an overall decrease of 100 basis points.
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