Dogecoin (DOGE) Struggles to Break Out—Can Rising Indicators Shift the Trend?

Dogecoin (DOGE) is struggling to regain traction. It has been down more than 5% over the past seven days and has traded below $0.25 since the end of February. Despite brief signs of momentum, technical indicators still reflect a bearish bias, with key resistance levels capping upside attempts.

The Ichimoku Cloud remains red, EMA lines are still bearish, and price action continues to hover below critical trend-confirmation zones. However, a sharp shift in BBTrend and improving momentum metrics suggest traders are watching closely for a potential breakout attempt.

Dogecoin Faces Resistance as Bearish Ichimoku Structure Persists

Dogecoin’s current Ichimoku Cloud chart shows a clear bearish structure, with price action remaining below the Kumo (cloud), which is shaded red in the near term.

The blue Tenkan-sen (conversion line) is positioned below the red Kijun-sen (base line), reinforcing a short-term bearish outlook.

Additionally, the price candles are struggling to break above the Tenkan-sen, which is acting as dynamic resistance and preventing upward momentum from building. This typically signals weak buying pressure in the current market phase.

DOGE Ichimoku Cloud. Source: TradingView.

Looking forward, the Kumo cloud ahead is transitioning from red to green, indicating a potential shift in sentiment if price manages to approach and penetrate the cloud.

However, the cloud itself is relatively thick, which suggests a strong resistance zone that will require significant bullish momentum to overcome. Until price enters or breaks above the cloud, the prevailing bias remains bearish.

The Kumo’s current flat base could also act as a magnet, drawing price toward it, but sustained upside will depend on whether Dogecoin can flip the cloud into support.

DOGE Sees Sharp Reversal as BBTrend Turns Positive

Dogecoin’s BBTrend indicator has flipped strongly bullish, rising to 2 from -3.14 just a day ago.

The BBTrend (Bollinger Band Trend) is a momentum indicator that measures the strength and direction of price movement relative to its Bollinger Bands.

Values above zero suggest bullish momentum, while values below zero signal bearish pressure. The higher the positive value, the stronger the upward momentum; likewise, deeper negative values indicate stronger downward trends.

DOGE BBTrend. Source: TradingView.

With DOGE’s BBTrend now at 2, it indicates a potential shift in sentiment and growing bullish momentum. This sharp reversal suggests that buying pressure is increasing and the asset may be entering a recovery phase.

While it doesn’t confirm a sustained uptrend on its own, a BBTrend in positive territory often precedes further gains—especially if supported by rising volume and follow-through in price action.

Traders may view this as an early signal to monitor for potential continuation.

DOGE Must Break $0.206 to Flip Trend—Or Risk Dropping to $0.168

Dogecoin’s EMA lines remain in a bearish alignment, with short-term averages still below the long-term ones, reflecting ongoing downward pressure.

If the current bounce fails to gain strength, DOGE could soon retest support at $0.168, which has held in recent sessions. Without a decisive shift in momentum, this level may act as a magnet for price action in the near term.

DOGE Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

The absence of an EMA crossover keeps the overall trend bearish for now.

On the flip side, if momentum strengthens and DOGE manages to break resistance at $0.206, it could trigger a broader reversal. In that case, the next upside targets would be $0.232 and potentially $0.254, assuming sustained follow-through.