The probability of a "U.S. government shutdown this year" is currently reported at 56% on Kalshi.
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BlockBeats News, September 19, according to data from the prediction market Kalshi, the market currently estimates a 56% probability of a U.S. government shutdown this year.
Previous reports stated that Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer warned on Thursday that if Republicans refuse to include key healthcare provisions in any agreement, Democrats are prepared to let government funding run out.
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