Golden Cross Signals the Start of Bitcoin's Run Toward $160,000

Bitcoin Forecast: Experts Eye $160,000 Target

as September Sees MACD Golden Cross Signal

Bitcoin’s on-chain data has sparked renewed optimism among bulls after a significant MACD golden cross formed on September 5, with the cryptocurrency holding close to $114,817. This is the first such bullish crossover since April 2025, prompting analysts to suggest that, based on historical trends and supportive macroeconomic factors, BTC/USD could climb to $160,000 by October. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), which measures momentum by comparing short- and long-term trends, saw its MACD line rise above the signal line below zero—a formation often associated with continued upward price movement Bitcoin MACD Golden Cross Gives $160K BTC Price Target [ 1 ].

This golden cross echoes what occurred in April, when

jumped 40% over the following month after seeing the same technical signal. Noted trader BitBull remarked, “The last time this happened, BTC soared 40% in a month and set a new all-time high.” Should history repeat, Bitcoin could reach the $160,000 mark, a level already projected as a 2025 high Bitcoin MACD Golden Cross Gives $160K BTC Price Target [ 1 ]. This outlook is reinforced by macroeconomic drivers such as cooling U.S. inflation and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts. The August Consumer Price Index (CPI), scheduled for release in late September, is seen as a pivotal event—softer inflation could hasten rate cuts and drive risk assets higher Bitcoin MACD Golden Cross Gives $160K BTC Price Target [ 1 ].

Additional technical signals also support the bullish narrative. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) has leveled off, easing concerns about imminent overbought conditions, while the amount of Bitcoin held on exchanges is declining, indicating less supply available for immediate sale Why Bitcoin is Surging Today? Technical Analysis … [ 2 ]. Institutional interest is also robust, with ETF inflows and decreased miner selling providing structural support. Since launching in January 2024, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have attracted more than $50 billion, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and Fidelity’s FBTC leading the way Bitcoin ETF Inflows 2025 Smash $50 Billion Barrier [ 3 ]. These flows establish a “price floor,” absorbing downward price moves—a trend analysts say hasn’t been seen in prior cycles Bitcoin at $123K: ETF Inflows, Regulatory Clarity & On-Chain Momentum [ 4 ].

Nonetheless, certain risks linger. Resistance remains at $116,000–$117,000, and a breakout above this region is needed to open the path to $120,000 and fresh record highs. Should Bitcoin fail to stay above $114,000, it may revisit the $112,000–$113,000 support area, while a fall below $100,000 could mark a bearish reversal Why Bitcoin is Surging Today? Technical Analysis … [ 2 ]. Large-holder activity could also add volatility: mid-tier wallets have bought 65,000 BTC since early September, but major whales are back to selling, transferring $136 million to exchanges Why Bitcoin is Surging Today? Technical Analysis … [ 2 ].

Experts remain cautiously optimistic, noting the interplay of technical signals, macro trends, and institutional moves. Simon Peters from

pointed out that “institutional players are coming back to Bitcoin with renewed enthusiasm,” while Bitget’s Ryan Lee forecast a possible range of $150,000–$200,000 by year’s end, assuming the Fed remains supportive Why Bitcoin is Surging Today? Technical Analysis … [ 2 ]. Despite these estimates, reaching $160,000 will depend on sustaining momentum above crucial supports and avoiding disruptions such as unexpected policy changes or geopolitical events.

To summarize, the MACD golden cross in September has become a key point of focus for Bitcoin’s short-term outlook. With historical patterns, improving macro conditions, and rising institutional involvement all aligning, the $160,000 target is increasingly plausible. Still, investors must monitor ongoing risks, including resistance levels and possible regulatory or macroeconomic shocks.