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Bitcoin News: Will BTC Price Crash to $81,000?

Bitcoin News: Will BTC Price Crash to $81,000?

CryptotickerCryptoticker2025/09/27 22:53
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By:Xue WangCategories: 新闻

Bitcoin is sliding towards a key support level as inflation rises and the Federal Reserve remains hesitant about cutting interest rates.

Bitcoin price is slightly above 109,000, but pressure is mounting. As Trump’s reimposition of tariffs leads to renewed inflation, the Federal Reserve is caught between rate cuts and sticky prices, and investors are asking: Will Bitcoin price slide all the way down to 81,000? Let’s analyze.

Bitcoin News: Inflation, Tariffs, and Market Sentiment

Bitcoin News: Will BTC Price Crash to $81,000? image 0

A survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia shows that inflation will rise to 3% by year-end, slightly higher than the current 2.9%. Core PCE remains at 2.9%, and Goldman Sachs expects it to rise to 3.2% by December. This isn’t runaway inflation, but it’s enough to keep the Fed cautious.

The issue is: the market had originally bet on the Fed cutting rates faster and deeper after the first cut in 2025. The renewed acceleration in inflation has changed this expectation. If the Fed slows down, risk assets like BTC price could be hurt. As the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets rises, traders tend to exit cryptocurrencies.

Tariff Inflation: A Temporary but Stubborn Threat

Tariffs are acting as an artificial driver of inflation. Surveys show that companies have so far passed on about 70% of the costs, but expect more pass-through in Q4. This means that even if underlying demand is weak, inflation could appear higher by year-end.

For Bitcoin news, tariff-driven inflation has two effects. On one hand, persistent inflation keeps real yields high, which is negative for cryptocurrencies. On the other hand, long-term tariff pressure undermines consumer confidence and sparks demand for hedging assets. Historically, Bitcoin price has performed well when investors believe fiat policy is compromised. However, at present, traders are more concerned about the Fed delaying policy easing than the long-term hedging argument.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Daily Chart

Bitcoin News: Will BTC Price Crash to $81,000? image 1 BTC/USD Daily Chart- TradingView

The BTC price daily chart shows that after a sharp drop from 116,000, the price is consolidating around 109,600. The Bollinger Bands are widening, and the candles are hugging the lower band, indicating strong downward momentum. Pivot levels reveal the real picture:

  • Immediate support is around 109,500, which is exactly where BTC price is currently testing.
  • The next key Fibonacci levels are at 104,000 (0.618) and 100,000 (0.786).
  • Further down, S3 support is at 96,000, and extended pivot projections point to 81,000.

If $BTC loses the 104,000–100,000 range, the technicals open the door for a deeper decline. 81,000 is not a forecast, but a tail risk if panic selling combines with worsening macro sentiment.

Macro and Bitcoin News: The 81,000 Risk

The chart setup plus the inflation outlook means the market is caught between two forces.

  • If the Fed ignores rising inflation and continues to ease, BTC could find support and rebound from the 100,000 level.
  • If inflation keeps the Fed on hold, BTC could fall further, with 96,000 as the next reasonable stop.

For Bitcoin price to truly test 81,000, it would require stubborn inflation, delayed Fed easing, and perhaps a liquidity shock in the stock market. Without this triple threat, the odds favor a rebound before reaching such extremes.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Crash or Correction?

So, will BTC price crash to 81,000? The possibility exists, but it’s not the base case. The technical roadmap shows 104,000 and 100,000 are key battlegrounds. If these are lost amid heavy selling and macro headwinds, then 81,000 becomes a possible target. But if inflation cools as expected in early 2026 and the Fed resumes rate cuts, Bitcoin price could re-establish the 115,000–120,000 range.

For now, traders should view 81,000 as an extreme downside scenario, not a central forecast. The real battle is whether $BTC price can hold the 100,000 level in the coming weeks.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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