Can BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Stop BTC From Crashing?

Despite a major bullish headline, Bitcoin has fallen below $105K — even as BlackRock announces the expansion of its Bitcoin ETF to Australia, marking the first time its crypto investment product reaches a new continent.
While institutional adoption continues to grow, the market faces sharp volatility, heavy liquidations, and rising fears that Bitcoin could soon drop under $100K.

BlackRock Expands Bitcoin ETF to Australia

BlackRock’s upcoming iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) will be listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) in mid-November 2025.
After dominating U.S. markets, this marks the asset manager’s next move into the Asia-Pacific region — offering local investors a regulated gateway into Bitcoin exposure.

This milestone is expected to deepen global liquidity and strengthen Bitcoin’s legitimacy among institutional players.
Yet the timing was unfortunate: as the ETF news spread, Bitcoin’s price continued to sink, suggesting that broader market sentiment remains cautious.

Bitcoin Falls Below $105K Amid $1.3 B in Liquidations

According to market data shared by Ash Crypto, over $1.3 billion in leveraged long and short positions were liquidated within 24 hours — with BTC ($378 M) and ETH ($333 M) leading the losses.
This massive deleveraging event has magnified the downturn, forcing more traders to close positions and accelerating Bitcoin’s slide to $104,742.

The next critical support lies near $100 K — a level both psychological and technical.
If this breaks, analysts warn of further downside targets around $95K–$97K.

Polymarket Odds Show 52 % Chance of Bitcoin Dropping Below $100K

Prediction platform Polymarket now assigns a 52 % probability that Bitcoin will fall below $100 K this month — its highest reading in months.
This surge in bearish sentiment reflects mounting fear and hedging among traders as volatility spikes.

It also highlights a growing belief that institutional news alone may not be enough to offset macro pressure and leveraged unwind.

Can Institutional Adoption Save BTC?

While the BlackRock ETF launch is undoubtedly bullish long-term, its short-term impact on price is limited.
Institutional inflows build slowly, and retail traders often “sell the news.”
That said, each new ETF expansion strengthens Bitcoin’s position as a legitimate, globally traded asset.

If BlackRock’s Australian ETF inspires similar launches in Asia, it could attract new liquidity that stabilizes the market above $100 K.
But until those inflows materialize, macro uncertainty, Fed policy caution, and risk-off sentiment will likely continue to pressure prices.

Market Outlook — Crash or Consolidation?

Factor Impact Direction

BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (Australia)	Institutional expansion	Bullish long-term
$1.3 B in liquidations	Leverage reset	Bearish short-term
Bitcoin below $105 K	Technical breakdown	Neutral-to-bearish
Polymarket 52 % crash odds	Sentiment indicator	Bearish
Macro & Fed uncertainty	Risk pressure	Bearish
Institutional demand	Support floor	Bullish

Over the next few weeks, Bitcoin may trade between $100 K–$110 K, with sharp volatility on both sides.
A clean break below $100 K could trigger panic selling, while a rebound above $110 K may signal renewed confidence driven by ETF-related optimism.

Conclusion

BlackRock’s ETF expansion into Australia marks a new chapter in Bitcoin’s institutional adoption, extending its reach to a new continent and investor base.
But with leverage still high and traders fearful, the question remains: Can institutional capital arrive fast enough to prevent Bitcoin from breaking $100 K ?
For now, the odds are split — the fundamentals are strong, but the short-term storm isn’t over yet.

$BTC, $ETH