Bitcoin ETFs Face $866 Million Exodus Yet Bull Market Remains Intact

US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds experienced $866 million in net outflows on Thursday, marking their second-worst day on record. According to Cointelegraph, this came just one day after President Donald Trump signed a government funding bill. The outflows occurred despite expectations that ending the 43-day US government shutdown would restore investor confidence. Bitcoin ETFs previously recorded their largest single-day exit on February 25, 2025, when $1.14 billion left the funds.

The withdrawals affected all major Bitcoin ETF providers. Fidelity, BlackRock, Ark, and Grayscale products all recorded net redemptions throughout the trading session. This represents the second consecutive day of outflows for these investment vehicles. Bitcoin's price declined to around $97,000 following the redemptions. The government funding bill provides support until January 30, 2026.

Market Analysis Shows Bull Cycle Still Active

Despite the heavy outflows, prominent analysts maintain that Bitcoin's bull market remains intact. Ki Young Ju, founder and CEO of CryptoQuant, stated that the bear cycle is not confirmed unless Bitcoin drops below $94,000. This level represents the average cost basis for investors who purchased Bitcoin in the past six to twelve months. Ju emphasized the importance of waiting for confirmation rather than making premature conclusions about market direction.

CoinDesk reports that ETF flows briefly turned positive on November 7 with $240 million in inflows, ending a six-day outflow streak. The government shutdown, which began on October 1, has contributed to reduced institutional demand for Bitcoin ETFs. Bitcoin declined 11% since the shutdown started, while traditional assets like the Nasdaq and gold rose 2% and 4% respectively. Prediction platform Polymarket estimates a 50% chance that the shutdown could extend beyond November 16.

Hunter Horsley, CEO of Bitwise, suggested that traditional four-year cycle theory may no longer apply to Bitcoin. He argued that the launch of Bitcoin ETFs and the new US administration have created a different market structure. Horsley believes the market may have already been in a bear phase for nearly six months and could be approaching its end. We previously reported that BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF reached 700,000 BTC holdings worth $75.5 billion, representing 55% of all US Bitcoin ETF assets. This concentration reflects strong institutional positioning despite recent volatility.

Implications for Institutional Adoption and Market Stability

The ETF outflows reflect broader concerns about institutional risk appetite during periods of macroeconomic uncertainty. Bitcoin ETFs were primary drivers of Bitcoin's momentum in 2025 alongside corporate buyers like Michael Saylor's Strategy. The lack of sustained demand creates questions about near-term price support. However, cumulative inflows since ETF launches in January 2024 still total over $60 billion across all providers.

Traditional financial institutions increasingly view Bitcoin ETFs as barometers for institutional sentiment toward digital assets. The concentration of holdings among major providers like BlackRock and Fidelity provides some stability. Total net assets across Bitcoin ETFs remain above $130 billion. This substantial base suggests that institutional interest persists despite short-term redemptions.

Emerging altcoin ETFs demonstrate continued appetite for cryptocurrency exposure through regulated products. The Canary Capital XRP ETF launched on Thursday with $58 million in first-day volume, outperforming all other ETF launches in 2025. Solana ETFs maintained their 13-day winning streak with $1.5 million in inflows. These positive flows indicate that investor interest is rotating rather than disappearing entirely. The combination of concentrated institutional holdings and diverse product launches suggests the cryptocurrency ETF market is maturing rather than collapsing.