LUNA Drops 13.6% Over the Past Month as Market Uncertainty Persists

As of November 15, 2025, LUNA experienced a 0.25% decrease over the past day, settling at $0.0808. Over the previous week, the token fell by 12.09%, saw a 13.6% decline in the last month, and has dropped 80.54% over the past year.

LUNA’s persistent price drop throughout the last month highlights ongoing market instability and a shortage of drivers to restore investor optimism. The 13.6% monthly decrease signals a shift toward risk aversion in the cryptocurrency sector, especially as global economic signals remain uncertain and institutional involvement is still limited. Experts believe that the absence of definitive regulatory guidance and ongoing market consolidation could extend the current downward movement.

Technical analysis points to a negative short-term forecast for LUNA. The RSI has stayed below 30 for several consecutive days, suggesting the asset is oversold, while the MACD continues its downward trajectory. These technical patterns indicate that the bearish trend may persist, and a strong rebound is unlikely unless a major positive event occurs. Any substantial recovery would likely require LUNA to break above its 200-day moving average.

Backtest Hypothesis

To better understand LUNA’s behavior during sharp price declines, a backtesting approach is suggested, concentrating on instances where the price dropped by 10% or more in a single day. This method will analyze LUNA’s subsequent performance in the days following such drops, utilizing historical data to identify trends or possible predictive indicators. The review will cover a 20-day period after each event, a standard window for evaluating market sentiment and recovery prospects. Risk management measures, including an 8% stop-loss and a 10% take-profit, will also be incorporated to reflect a realistic trading scenario.