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Solana's Latest Steep Decline: Should Investors See a Chance to Buy or a Cause for Concern?

Solana's Latest Steep Decline: Should Investors See a Chance to Buy or a Cause for Concern?

Bitget-RWA2025/11/19 08:26
By:Bitget-RWA

- Solana (SOL) faces a 63% drop in active addresses in November 2025, signaling waning memecoin-driven growth and structural challenges like 7.5% inflation. - High inflation, token unlocks, and lack of diversified use cases erode network value, while ecosystem valuations of Solana-linked projects have sharply declined. - Institutional confidence persists via partnerships like VanEck's ETF validator, but declining user activity and unresolved inefficiencies threaten long-term sustainability. - Analysts deba

Solana (SOL), once celebrated for its high-speed blockchain capabilities, experienced a significant decline in November 2025, with network activity dropping sharply and doubts emerging about its future viability. While some critics interpret this as evidence of deeper systemic problems, others believe it is a typical market correction in an environment still driven by speculation. This article examines Solana’s technical and on-chain metrics to assess whether the current downturn presents a buying window or signals more serious trouble.

Network Activity: 63% Drop and the Waning Craze

The most immediate concern is the dramatic decrease in Solana’s active addresses.

, the number of active addresses fell to 3.3 million in November 2025—a 63% drop from the January 2025 high of over 9 million. This marks the lowest point in a year and highlights the fading impact of memecoins, which had previously fueled much of Solana’s expansion in late 2024 and early 2025 .

The stabilization of user activity after the memecoin surge presents both positives and negatives. On one hand, it indicates a more mature ecosystem less dependent on hype; on the other, it reveals Solana’s limited variety of real-world applications.

that the network’s difficulties are worsened by ongoing structural challenges, such as a high inflation rate (now at 7.5%), continuous token unlocks, and a shortage of strong decentralized exchanges or prediction markets. These issues undermine the network’s value and investor trust, especially as other Layer-1 platforms like and continue to make headway in enterprise and DeFi sectors.

Structural Issues: Inflation, Token Unlocks, and Falling Ecosystem Valuations

Solana’s technical indicators show a network struggling with challenges of its own making. Elevated inflation is a major weakness, with yearly inflation surpassing staking returns and reducing rewards for validators. At the same time, token unlocks—especially from major holders linked to Solana’s treasury—have put downward pressure on SOL’s price,

during times of weak demand.

The financial state of the ecosystem has also worsened. Projects associated with Solana’s treasury, such as those backed by the

Foundation, have experienced significant drops in valuation, . This is especially troubling since Solana relies on innovation within its ecosystem to maintain its 18.8% share of Layer-1 user activity . Without a steady stream of impactful new applications, the network risks being seen only as a “memecoin” platform, potentially discouraging broader adoption.

Institutional Interest During the Slump: A Ray of Hope

Despite these setbacks, there are signs of institutional engagement in November 2025 that offer a more optimistic perspective.

to deliver validator services for VanEck’s forthcoming U.S. spot Solana ETF. This collaboration utilizes Strategies’ Orangefin validator, which secures over $437 million in staked assets, in Solana’s infrastructure, even as on-chain metrics falter.

These developments indicate that Solana’s technical design—which can handle over 50,000 transactions per second—remains appealing to institutions looking for scalable blockchain solutions. Still, this positive outlook is tempered by the fact that institutional participation alone cannot compensate for declining user engagement or fix underlying structural problems.

Assessing the Downturn: Market Cycle or Deeper Problem?

The main issue for investors is whether Solana’s slump is simply part of a normal market cycle or a sign of more fundamental weaknesses. On one side, the return to normal network activity after the memecoin boom could be seen as a healthy adjustment, and Solana’s high throughput and institutional partnerships might set the stage for a comeback. On the other, persistent problems like inflation, token unlocks, and a lack of diverse applications threaten its long-term prospects.

For this downturn to represent a buying chance, Solana needs to make tangible progress in resolving its structural issues. This involves introducing measures to control inflation, speeding up the creation of enterprise-level decentralized apps, and decreasing its dependence on speculative trends. Until such improvements are made, the current decline may serve as a warning for investors who value long-term stability over short-term gains.

Conclusion: Balancing Optimism and Prudence

Solana’s difficulties in November 2025 reflect broader challenges within the crypto sector: the excitement of rapid innovation versus the demands of sustainable progress. While the network’s technical strengths and institutional backing provide hope for recovery, the drop in active users and unresolved structural problems remain significant concerns. Investors should carefully consider these factors, understanding that Solana’s future depends on its ability to move past the memecoin phase and become a robust, enterprise-ready blockchain.

At present, the outlook is still unclear. As the ecosystem faces this pivotal moment, the next few months will be crucial in revealing whether Solana can turn its setbacks into growth—or if the current downturn signals more serious challenges ahead.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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