Key Notes
- US policy developments triggered the latest AVAX selloff, pushing monthly losses beyond 25% as market sentiment weakened across major cryptocurrencies.
- Granite upgrade delivers three protocol improvements including dynamic blocktimes, FaceID-compatible authentication, and optimized cross-chain messaging costs.
- Technical indicators show persistent bearish pressure with AVAX trading below all major moving averages and requiring a close above $16 for recovery signals.
Avalanche AVAX $13.77 24h volatility: 6.4% Market cap: $5.90 B Vol. 24h: $441.84 M fell 6% on Nov. 19, trading as low as $13, exceeding its losses since the start of November, above the 25% mark.
Despite the market turbulence, the Avalanche team delivered its most significant network upgrade of the year. According to the official announcement via X, Avalanche Granite introduces three high-value protocol improvements designed to enhance execution speed, user authentication, and optimize cross-chain transactions.
Avalanche Granite is live. The tech is powerful.
This upgrade does three things: pic.twitter.com/l36s4c1wVr
— Avalanche🔺 (@avax) November 19, 2025
ACP-226: Faster Blocktimes
Granite allows validators to adjust minimum block times dynamically as network conditions improve. The long-term roadmap includes sub-second confirmations and more responsive user experience.
ACP-204: Biometric-Style Approvals for dApps
Avalanche now supports the cryptographic curve used in FaceID and TouchID (secp256r1), enabling passwordless, device-native authentication across dApps. The aim is to deliver stronger identity checks and friction-free transactions with mobile-grade security.
ACP-181: Cheaper, More Reliable Cross-Chain Messaging
Granite stabilizes the validator set for short epochs of 5–10 minutes rather than changing every block. This lowers gas costs, reduces cross-chain message failures, and simplifies development for multi-chain applications.
AVAX Price Forecast: Can Bulls Defend the $13 Support Zone?
The AVAX 3-day chart shows a persistent downtrend, with the price sliding below all major moving averages. The 50-day sits at $23.11, the 100-day at $22.44, and the 200-day at $27.45, all above current levels and continuing to slope downward, signaling potential for more downside action.
Avalanche (AVAX) technical price analysis, Nov. 19, 2025 | Source: TradingView
AVAX action remains trapped within a six-bar descending range, reflecting a 26.5% drawdown from early November. Volume has thinned, and the candles continue to print lower highs, showing that sellers have maintained control throughout the month.
A rebound requires a firm defense of the $13–$14 zone. A close above $16 would be the first meaningful signal of market recovery, potentially clearing the path to the $20 psychological resistance area. Failure to hold $13 opens the door to a retest of $12 and potentially the psychological $10 level. With all major trend metrics pointing lower, this remains the path of least resistance until momentum reverses.
Conversely, a 3-day close above $18 and a MACD bullish crossover would invalidate the current bearish outlook.
