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各家国库/公司一直疯狂大手笔加仓 $ETF 现在67家ETH RESERVE共计持仓5.91M ETH ($25.15B)，占总供应的4.89% 最近4天流入加速🔥 Daily Flow:+117.95K ETH

⛏️ 矿工动向：两周减持超3000枚BTC 据链上数据分析师@ali_charts统计，截至8月1日，比特币矿工过去两周已减持超3000枚比特币，持仓量从7月16日的180.98万枚下降至180.698万枚，减持幅度明显，反映矿工对后市态度趋于谨慎。 🗣️ 特朗普密集放话，市场连遭冲击 🔻 就业数据质疑风波再起 特朗普发文直指美国劳工统计局局长Erika McEntarfer“伪造就业数据”，称其“政治操纵数据以影响选情”，并宣布“立即解雇”该官员。他批评2024年就业数据被“严重高估”，下修幅度创纪录。特朗普还不忘将矛头指向美联储，称“鲍威尔也该退休了”。 💣 扬言“秒换”鲍威尔，却又话锋一转 在接受Newsmax采访时，特朗普表示“若有需要，将毫不犹豫地解雇美联储主席鲍威尔”，但随后又称“鲍威尔很可能继续留任”，并批评当前利率水平“过高”。 🧨 地缘政治紧张升级 针对俄前总统梅德韦杰夫发表的“挑衅性言论”，特朗普宣布已下令将两艘核潜艇部署至俄罗斯周边海域。这一举动加剧地缘风险，全球避险情绪升温。 📉 宏观与政策动态 💼 美联储：高利率仍是主基调 美联储主席鲍威尔再次强调，在利率制定中不会考虑政府融资成本，并重申当前货币政策“适度限制性”。尽管通胀有所回落，就业数据疲软，但对降息仍保持谨慎。 🔄 美联储人事变动将提前？ 美联储理事库格勒意外辞职，市场普遍认为，特朗普或将借机提前物色并任命下一任主席人选。分析指出，若鲍威尔不辞去理事身份，特朗普将在2028年前无法再次干预主席人选。 🇨🇳 中国央行：下半年政策持续宽松 中国人民银行表示，将继续实施适度宽松的货币政策，完善政策利率机制，推动综合融资成本下行，为实体经济提供稳定支持。 🇬🇧 英国FCA：将向散户开放加密ETN 英国金融监管机构FCA宣布，自10月起将允许零售投资者参与加密ETN交易，此举被视为传统金融与加密融合的重要一步。 🧾 政治监管风暴中的加密行业 🇺🇸 华盛顿关注特朗普“加密牟利”问题 美国参议员Elizabeth Warren致信OCC，指责特朗普“持续利用加密项目中饱私囊”，呼吁对其加密行为进行深入审查。 🔗 SEC启动“Project Crypto”计划 SEC宣布启动“Project Crypto”，旨在推动证券法规链上化，迈出金融系统上链化关键一步。 🌐 区块链与企业动态 💸 Stable融资2800万美元，专注稳定币基础设施 专为稳定币构建的L1区块链项目Stable完成2800万美元融资，Bitfinex、Hack VC等参与。项目将推动稳定币应用场景落地。 💶 欧元稳定币EURAU上线，DWS等机构背书 由德意志银行子公司DWS、Flow Traders、Galaxy Digital支持的AllUnity发行EURAU稳定币，完全以银行储备金支持，符合欧盟监管规范。 📉 市场动荡与鲸鱼动向 🐋 巨鲸持续做空ETH，5万枚空单浮盈千万美元 一位胜率高达75%的以太坊鲸鱼再度加仓空头，目前持有5万枚ETH空单，开仓价为$3,634，总浮盈已超1225万美元。若行情继续下行，其将成为近期最大赢家之一。 📉 BTC持续回调，跌破114,000美元 受特朗普言论与政策不确定性影响，比特币跌破114,000美元，日内跌幅超3%，市场风险情绪显著升温。 📊 企业财报与产品更新 🏦 Robinhood Q2报告：加密营收1.6亿美元 Robinhood第二季度加密营收为1.6亿美元，同比增长32%。月活跃用户为1280万，略低于市场预期。 🪙 市场动态速览 🟢 美财长：将探索去中心化计算与数字支付，释放区块链潜力 🔵 纳斯达克上市公司Mill City达成5亿美元协议推进SUI策略 🔴 美7月非农数据远低于预期，仅增加7.3万人

The recent U.S. inflation data has once again brought the market’s focus back to macroeconomic fundamentals. For June, the annual rate of non-seasonally adjusted CPI came in at 2.7%, slightly higher than the expected 2.6%, while the core CPI registered at 2.9%. Although these numbers do not suggest a sharp resurgence in inflation, they do indicate that inflationary pressures in the U.S. economy are still lingering more than markets had anticipated. This keeps the Federal Reserve in a difficult position as it balances between controlling inflation and supporting economic growth. Despite this higher-than-expected inflation print, interest rate futures continue to suggest that a rate cut in July remains highly unlikely. However, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September is steadily increasing, as markets digest not just the CPI data but the broader trajectory of the U.S. economy. The upcoming Producer Price Index (PPI) data on July 16th will provide additional clues about inflation trends, particularly in light of concerns over how Trump's proposed tariffs might flow through to consumer prices. These tariffs, depending on their scale and duration, could amplify price pressures in certain sectors, complicating the Fed’s decision-making even further. When macroeconomic data disrupts the market, I believe traders and investors must remain disciplined and avoid making emotional decisions based on single data points. It’s important to look at the broader trend, assess how this data fits into the Fed’s policy framework, and consider how other markets — bonds, currencies, and commodities — are reacting. Typically, overreacting to short-term volatility leads to poor decisions, whereas focusing on the bigger picture narrative, maintaining flexibility in strategies, and adjusting risk exposure gradually can help navigate these turbulent periods more effectively. For me personally, I am closely watching not only inflation data but also employment figures, corporate earnings guidance, and geopolitical developments, as these will collectively shape the market environment for the coming months. Whether trading equities, crypto, or forex, macro data will continue to act as a key driver, so having a clear plan and staying data-informed is more crucial than ever.