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BlockBeats News, December 19th, Traders spent most of December speculating whether the typical year-end "Santa Rally" would materialize as expected. The S&P 500 index rose 0.8% on Thursday, ending a four-day losing streak that had persisted earlier in the month. Drawing on historical trends, the stock market may continue its ascent: Castle Securities' data shows that since 1928, the S&P 500 index has had a 75% probability of rising in the last two weeks of December, with an average gain of 1.3% The Goldman Sachs trading desk team, including Gail Hafif, stated: "It will be hard to resist the seasonal tailwind we are about to enter and a more favorable positioning unless there is a significant shock. Though we do not necessarily expect a sharp rally, we do see room for further upside from here through year-end." (FXStreet)

Jinse Finance reported that European Central Bank Governing Council member Escrivá stated that he sees no reason to adjust interest rates and expects monetary policy to remain stable for the foreseeable future. On Thursday, the European Central Bank kept its policy rates unchanged and raised some growth and inflation forecasts, a move that may have closed the door to further rate cuts in the near term. In an interview, when Escrivá was asked about the next possible interest rate move, he said: "We don't know, but if necessary, we are open to any change in any direction. However, at present, we are satisfied with the current 2% interest rate level."

BlockBeats news, on December 19, the probability of "bitcoin reaching $100,000 again this year" on Polymarket is currently reported at 11%. In addition, the probability of it reaching $95,000 again is currently reported at 32%, while the probability of falling below $80,000 is reported at 24%.