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VIPBitget VIP Weekly Research InsightsGlobal markets are experiencing multiple transformative catalysts supporting the recovery of risk assets. For instance, Trump has revived his proposal to distribute $2000 "tariff dividend" checks to every American using tariff revenues. While the plan faces hurdles such as congressional approval and inflationary concerns, it has already boosted consumer confidence and is expected to inject trillions of dollars in liquidity, benefitting high-growth technology sectors. Meanwhile, the U.S. government shutdown has reached a record 41 days. With the Senate having reached an agreement, it's expected to end on November 11—potentially triggering a renewed fiscal injection of tens of billions of dollars and a V-shaped rebound similar to past shutdown recoveries. Market expectations for a rate cut at the Federal Reserve's December FOMC meeting are also rising, with a 62.6% probability priced in for a 25-basis-point cut. Some Trump-backed officials even advocate for a 50-basis-point reduction, which would extend the easing cycle and further stimulate investment in crypto and AI infrastructure. Together, these factors may drive a 5–10% rebound in total crypto market capitalization, creating a window of opportunity for allocation to high-quality projects.
Cryptocurrency is one of the few areas that does not rely on banks or governments, yet allows for the holding and transfer of value.
- 14:41Strategy: Based on recent prices, the current BTC holdings are sufficient to cover over 70 years of dividend payments.Jinse Finance reported that the bitcoin treasury company Strategy posted on X, stating that based on recent prices, the company currently holds approximately 650,000 BTC, which is fully sufficient to cover 71 years of dividend payments. It also pointed out that as long as bitcoin increases by about 1.41% per year, the generated returns would be enough to pay the annual dividends. However, the community noted that Strategy's data is based on several assumptions, including bitcoin prices remaining unchanged, all holdings being available for sale or collateralized financing, no external shocks or tax impacts, the convertible debt structure remaining controllable, and stable dividend payment amounts. The latest data shows that Strategy's current holdings are valued at approximately $54.69 billions, with mNAV reaching 1.
- 14:05Data: A major whale in the loop lending market liquidated and sold off 700 WBTC at a loss of $21.68 millionChainCatcher News, according to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, as bitcoin has recently experienced a deep correction, a whale who purchased 700 WBTC through a looping loan strategy four months ago saw their lending position approach liquidation. Today, the whale has capitulated and fully closed the position, incurring a loss of up to 21.68 million USD.
- 13:34Analysis: Bitcoin plunges into danger zone, options factors intensify market volatilityChainCatcher News, according to Bloomberg, bitcoin has plummeted, putting the market in a dangerous situation. Option-based sell-offs have further intensified volatility. Bitcoin has fallen by about 25% so far this month. This decline is mainly driven by spot selling, including outflows from major exchange-traded funds (ETFs), sales of long-dormant wallet assets, and a decrease in demand from momentum investors, among other factors. On the other hand, option trading positions have also amplified price fluctuations. When bitcoin falls below certain price levels, traders need to adjust their hedges to maintain neutral positions. This process, known as "Gamma exposure," further magnifies price volatility. One key level is $85,000, which was breached on the 21st. There is concentrated demand for put options near this strike price, forcing market makers to hedge large exposures. In such situations, traders are usually in a "short Gamma" state and will further sell bitcoin to maintain balance, thereby accelerating the decline.