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CPI Data Set to Drop at 08:30 ET — Crypto Markets Brace for Major Volatility

CPI Data Set to Drop at 08:30 ET — Crypto Markets Brace for Major Volatility

coinfomaniacoinfomania2025/10/24 12:03
By:coinfomania

Crypto analyst Crypto Rover (@ cryptorover ) posted to his followers via X that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data in the U.S. will be published today, October 24, 2025, at 08:30 ET. This is in agreement with the release schedule of the monthly inflation data by the office of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). CPI is used to track the average prices of goods and services, and it is the important indicator of inflation in the United States.

REMINDER:

🇺🇸 CPI DATA DROPS AT 08:30 ET TODAY.

EXPECT BIG VOLATILITY! pic.twitter.com/LzFQ3RQTnr

— Crypto Rover (@cryptorover) October 24, 2025

Large Sensitivity to Markets Expected

Instead, Crypto Rover advised its followers to prepare a massive volatility, which has been the case with previous CPI days that caused spikes in crypto and equities. As an example, on September 13, 2022, Bitcoin dropped almost ten percent in hours of a bigger-than-anticipated CPI report. The same happened in 2023 and 2024 as the inflation indicators guided the feelings of investors regarding interest rates. Analysts believe that CPI greater than 3.5 percent, year-over-year, would revive worry about stricter Federal Reserve policy, whereas a decrease would trigger Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and large altcoins rallies.

Context of the Policy and Role of the Federal Reserve

The photo on the post of Rover depicts a podium bearing the Federal Reserve Board of Governors seal, which hints that the statements or commentary of the Fed Chair Jerome Powell might follow. The Fed uses the CPI trends to estimate the level of inflationary pressure and set of monetary policy targets.

According to the most recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement in September 2025, Fed kept its benchmark rate at 5.255.50% with moderate progress in price inflation control but indicated that could change to core CPI stability. The current CPI release may hence shape the rate decision on November.

Global Market Positioning Before Data

Traders have already hedged increased volatility across derivatives markets. Futures suggest that there is a 62 percent chance of no increase or decrease in the rates in November, according to CME FedWatch data, this number may change drastically after CPI. Overnight crypto options volume also spiked on Deribit, and the implied volatility index (DVOL) of Bitcoin (DVOL) went above 70, its highest point since August 2025.

Asian markets, such as the Nifty 50 and Sensex in India were also pessimistic in the opening, reminiscent of the Wall Street pre-data anxiety. Liquidity in stablecoins has gone up in major exchanges, which is an indication that traders are hedging risk prior to the launch.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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